Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.082484 1.231888 1.394660 1.585214 1.802249 2.041844 2.326551
2025-12-07 0.826957 1.023741 1.256869 1.553640 1.921791 2.364055 2.936618
2025-12-14 0.674885 0.885626 1.150210 1.507223 1.977236 2.576150 3.399426
2025-12-21 0.579505 0.797529 1.084546 1.490745 2.052222 2.803156 3.887598
2025-12-28 0.528540 0.758115 1.073063 1.537698 2.207849 3.142812 4.552568
2026-01-04 0.466988 0.694891 1.019212 1.515691 2.259407 3.336839 5.025255
2026-01-11 0.432552 0.665708 1.008848 1.552286 2.395202 3.659443 5.712278
2026-01-18 0.395615 0.628057 0.980908 1.557522 2.481134 3.911533 6.311847
2026-01-25 0.358067 0.585100 0.939817 1.536657 2.521773 4.093744 6.813956
2026-02-01 0.322500 0.541449 0.892913 1.500729 2.532648 4.226299 7.243154
2026-02-08 0.291735 0.502512 0.849630 1.465739 2.540079 4.351068 7.666874
2026-02-15 0.273250 0.482412 0.835455 1.477961 2.627560 4.615935 8.354433
2026-02-22 0.249627 0.453535 0.807725 1.471410 2.695140 4.876325 9.106600
2026-03-01 0.224421 0.419672 0.768749 1.442362 2.722588 5.074700 9.781664
2026-03-08 0.200581 0.385481 0.725208 1.399312 2.717841 5.211095 10.351436
2026-03-15 0.183325 0.361703 0.698185 1.384030 2.763244 5.444744 11.134703
2026-03-22 0.175055 0.354364 0.701399 1.427573 2.928027 5.925671 12.468475
2026-03-29 0.160415 0.332697 0.674325 1.407165 2.960771 6.145617 13.285541
2026-04-05 0.152928 0.324805 0.673850 1.441101 3.109242 6.616678 14.689793
2026-04-12 0.143256 0.311281 0.660385 1.445957 3.195836 6.965855 15.866148
2026-04-19 0.132308 0.293857 0.636956 1.426608 3.227088 7.198179 16.805060
2026-04-26 0.121239 0.275022 0.608619 1.393289 3.223197 7.351761 17.578603
2026-05-03 0.111303 0.257718 0.581932 1.360841 3.217585 7.500198 18.355902